Derby beyer speed figures

  • The Beyer speed figures are a numerical representation of a horse’s performance based on the final time of their races and the speed of the track (fast, slow, muddy, etc. Jun 26, 2013 · TimeformUS Speed Figures are a breakthrough rating combining the horse’s final time, the pace at which the horse ran, and the pace of the race in which he ran. But there won’t be much early speed for either of those horses to chase, potentially leaving the No. com “Unlocking Winners” forum had asked some questions about the historical significance of Triple Digit Beyer numbers, specifically in regard to horses that had shown multiple 100+ Beyer figures coming into the Derby. Feb 20, 2020 · Charlatan got a Beyer Speed figure of 104 for that race and that is the highest for any 3-year-old so far this season. After devouring the information in Speed to Spare I, like any eager handicapper, was looking forward to applying some of the tips in this book. In 2007, Street Sense was up by a length, and in 2006, Barbaro was four lengths in front at the eighth pole. These books go together like ham and eggs. The lists provide daily updates of the top Equibase® Speed Figures earned in stakes races in the categories listed below: Beyer Speed Figures are better than the raw final times still used by many handicappers because they take into account the actual speed and depth of the racing surface on any given day. That’s if you go by the Beyer Speed Figures, the calculations put forth Jun 10, 2011 · But in 1975, Beyer published “Picking Winners,” a book about his speed figures, and changed the way bettors and handicappers waged their dollars. final Derby prep. ) on that day. 5 million dollars in career earnings. Long Range Toddy’s speed figures for the Rebel – 109 Equibase, 95 Beyer, 97 Brisnet, 117 TimeForm US – make him very competitive against this group. These Figures represent a relative measure of how fast a  Beyer Speed Figures are the most accurate measure of how fast a horse ran in its previous races and they are an absolutely essential tool in any handicapper's  We are looking for a horse who has an 'average' two-race Beyer Figure at least including the one cited by Andy Beyer in his newest work, Beyer On Speed. Beyer Speed Figures appear exclusively in Daily Racing Form. And the colt has two such figures in addition to four wins by a combined 38 lengths. Is 3-for-5 this year and 4-for-  2 May 2016 Speed figures. May 17, 2019 · Owendale, who ran a 98 Beyer Speed Figure that day, has trained well since the Lexington, clocking a five-furlong breeze for trainer Brad Cox in 59 1/5 seconds on May 11. Apr 28, 2015 · The Beyer Speed Figures, a well-known staple at Daily Racing Form, are complemented by the publication's pure speed rating and track variant figures, explained succinctly as follows. While speed figures can be helpful having only one final speed or performance figure is not enough. post winners 1 12 2 9 3 8 4 10 5 12 Making the necessary calculations to develop a set of figures for each horse in each race was too time-consuming for most horseplayers, so in 1992 the Daily Racing Form commissioned Beyer and his associates to provide his speed figures for every horse competing in North America. HORSE, TRK, DATE, DIST, BEYER FIGURE. For example, times of 1:12 at six furlongs, 1:25 at seven furlongs and 1:38 at a mile all equaled a 94 to Beyer, who used a numeric system in which the higher the speed figure, the better the performance. In fact, thanks to his proficiency with speed figures and top-tier handicapping, he landed one of just eight spots on Beyer's figure-making team in 2017, a position he holds to this day. 2020 Arkansas Derby odds, contenders: Horse racing insider gives surprising picks, predictions Bob Weir is heavily invested in the Beyer Speed Figure and locked in his 2020 Arkansas Derby predictions. The 2020 Kentucky Derby is the 146th renewal of The Greatest Two Minutes in Sports. (This year, that would be Apr 01, 2013 · Kentucky Derby Speed Figures. May 02, 2008 · For those who don’t closely follow racing, Andy is the guru, the Einstein who created the “Beyer Speed Figures. They are the bold numbers found in the middle of each DRF, indicating the horse's past performances. Cons: There is only one, but it’s a big one, and that’s his pedigree. No. In our horse racing subculture, today’s greatest myth has developed into an icon: the speed May 07, 2016 · Since the figures began being published in 1991, seven Kentucky Derby winners had the best Beyer among all Derby entrants in their last-outs, i. A look at the speed figures earned by the top Kentucky Derby contenders this spring under the Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating, and Ragozin's The Sheets systems. Both came on sloppy tracks and neither won A pair of runners racked up triple-digit BRIS Speed ratings over the past week in stakes contests. e. 71. Jun 20, 2019 · Both of those races were held over 1 1/8 miles, the same distance as the Ohio Derby, and Math Wizard posted Beyer speed figures that make him a candidate to finish in the top three on Saturday Jun 24, 2020 · The speed figures for the Belmont Stakes were encouraging: Tiz the Law earned a 113 Equibase Speed Figure, matched his career-best with a 100 Beyer Speed Figure, and earned a 106 BrisNet speed May 02, 2013 · The Beyer Speed Figures, a well-known staple at Daily Racing Form, are complemented by the publication's pure speed rating and track variant figures, explained succinctly as follows. Beyer on Speed presents a revolutionary way to play the horses and win. Are the against the clock on a convenient scale – the Beyer Speed Figure. Rating: 3 Apr 23, 2019 · His speed figures suggest a horse who is a live longshot, especially with a pedigree to die for that will carry him a mile and a quarter with no problem. He invented a measure, named after him, that permits the comparison of horses from race-to-race, track-to-track. . He looks to be the only one who is a Known as the Beyer Speed Figures, these numbers give an accurate estimation of a horse’s speed. Shamanka is referring to after the races. washingtonpost. What’s listed in this article are the figures as they appeared at the time. (The others are Game Winner, Improbable and Maximum Security). (The others are Game Beyer on Speed shows the way, explaining how to relate the numbers to such factors as pace, track bias, and track conditions. Need to know: One of only four horses here with at least a 95 Beyer Speed Figure in each of his last two races. 15 Apr 2019 On numbers alone, there is almost no difference between the top three Beyer Speed Figure earners, which will force handicappers to use other  17 Mar 2020 The week's top Beyer speed figure in North America USA: Bob Baffert still best on Derby day as Charlatan and Nadal dazzle in Arkansas. Live odds, betting, horse bios, travel info, tickets, news, and updates from Churchill Downs Race Track. I picked Ten Most Wanted, so he was doomed. Beyer Speed Figures appear solely in the Daily Race Form. Still think speed figures don’t matter? Editor’s Note: Brisnet speed figures have changed since they debuted in 1992. May 05, 2016 · The following Kentucky Derby power rankings, fluid right up until post time, are based on past performances, Beyer Speed Figures (via Daily Racing Form), visual observation of videotaped workouts May 18, 2005 · The Beyer speed figures are a handicapping tool that measure each horse’s speed for the distance, class and condition of the track. com In preparing to bet the Kentucky Derby and other races this year I read Andrew Beyer's fantastic book "Beyer on Speed" and this book. P. He earned a Beyer Speed Figure of 90 when beating maidens at Santa Anita last Saturday, the day the Belmont Stakes was originally scheduled. Jun 16, 2013 · The Derby was aloppy track and the preaknes was a fast track so maybe that had a lot to do with Oxbow’s wins and losses than beyer’s numbers or pace figures? Drexel Agner on June 4, 2016 at 4:00 pm Speed figures for 2 year old thoroughbred horses racing in North America 2 Year Old Horses Winning Speed Figure Winning Speed Figures through December, 8th - December, 14th Beyer Speed Figures. But Mendelssohn opened a lot of eyes with the 106 Beyer Speed Figure he earned for his March 31 romp (by 18½ lengths) in the UAE Derby. Its All Relevant earned a 99 Beyer Speed Figure going 1 1/16 miles in 1:39. Horse Racing Running Styles using the Beyer Speed Figures are one of the most powerful tools in handicapping. William May  27 Mar 2020 Florida Derby 2020: Complete Preview And PA Online Betting Guide Note: The Beyer speed figure (or number) is referenced multiple times  3 May 2019 Speed ratings. Based on speed figures, Goldencents is the horse to beat in Saturday's Kentucky Derby. The winning Beyer Speed  Stevie Wonderboy earned the highest Beyer Speed Figure in the last 15 runnings Kentucky Derby and Preakness and was third in the Belmont while injured. By historical standards, a Beyer Speed Figure of 98 is pretty terrible. In other words, he’s Casino Grande (8/5) – The morning line favorite not only followed his debut win with repeat success, but he did so while improving his Beyer speed figures by 12 points (from 71 to 83). He finished 19th. MONONGAHELA was awarded a career-topping 104 figure for his four-length victory in the Philip H Find expert handicapping analysis, video, online horse wagering, breaking news and more. He ran a 109 in the Derby and a 100 in the Preakness before being pulled up in the Belmont. Here's how America's Best Racing's Mike Curry describes Justify's running style. 4y Byron King So let's take a look at the probable Derby competitors by their Beyer Speed Figures, and the figure patterns they exhibit coming Jun 13, 2016 · Below are the fifteen Beyer Speed Figures that rank above Frosted’s 123 since Andrew Beyer began assigning them in the mid 1970s. Tiz the Law's Holy Bull Stakes win garnered the highest speed figure for all figure makers among this year's Belmont contenders, with a 108 Brisnet Speed Rating, 100 Beyer Speed Figure and a 121 on the TimeformUS scale. None of the entrants in 2010's field has yet earned a number higher than 101. Not to be confused with the Thoroughbred speed ratings used in Daily Racing Form,  Beyer Speed Figure is a performance measuring tool for North American horse racing created during the 1970's by Andrew Beyer. May 05, 2012 · Lukas notwithstanding, the Beyer figures have run up a pretty impressive record in the Derby. There were 13 races run in the U. JP: Has benefited from soft-pace scenarios in last two starts but fires every time. Pletcher won the Derby with Super Saver in 2010 and Always Dreaming in 2017. Rented Cop’s 43 and 64 Beyer Speed Figures were nothing special and he was an easy favorite to wager against. That is one thing we do know. Apr 25, 2018 · LAST-RACE BRISNET SPEED FIGURE OF 95 OR LESS IN KENTUCKY DERBY. 3 (17 variant) on June 10 and his figures are Bris 78/DRF 58. 2 days ago · For the exotics, #6 Sprawl (15-1) is worth a close look after rallying to win a 1 1/16-mile allowance race at Churchill by 2 1/4 lengths, earning competitive speed figures of 94 (Brisnet) and 89 (Beyer). May 17, 2013 at 9:28 pm. You tell me how a Beyer speed figure is calculated for an overseas track for which figures usually aren't done. Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) explained. The last horse to win the Derby after running the prior fall in Aqueduct’s 1 1/8-mile Remsen Stakes was Thunder Gulch in 1995. He’s the only horse in the field with three straight triple-digit Bris speed figures. Looking at raw times alone, the difference ends up being just 1/5 of a second. Andrew Beyer. Oct 10, 2017 · It’s Time to Call Beyer Speed Figures What They Really Are Somehow, I missed the hullabaloo over the Beyer Speed Figures given to Bolt d’Oro and Paradise Woods recently. The calculation of these figures is based on a formula created by Andrew Beyer and incorporated into the DRF starting in 1992. Mar 28, 2020 · Career-high Beyer (88), which came four starts back, looks like the outlier amongst his past five races (76, 79, 79, 78). Cowgirls Like Us - 73 in the Trapeze for 2-year-old fillies . Feb 07, 2017 · Fast Beyer's set tone for Kentucky Derby. All four races produced winners that scored Beyer Speed Figures in the 90’s and each winner not only has And, as for California Chrome, if he can stretch the dazzling speed he showed in the Santa Anita Derby for another furlong, he is a candidate to romp at Churchill Downs. However, Beyer also acknowledged that by some calculations, Count Fleet's Beyer speed figures might have reached 150. If this horse ran an 80 last time on an easy lead and a speed favoring surface he is unlikely to replicate that in a race full of speed on a fair surface. Beyer would have to go back in time to 1973 to calculate Secretariat, but the Triple Crown winner still holds the record for the Derby at The Kentucky Derby is the most famous race in the United States, and the most coveted by owners, trainers and jockeys. 4 (12 variant) and the figures are Bris 80/DRF 69. Gamine, BEL, 20 Jun, 1M, 110. - When it comes to the 142nd running of the Kentucky Derby, this year's field has a major case of the slows. Apr 11, 2018 · Horse Racing News Kentucky Derby Road to the Roses April 11, 2018 0 US Racing Team Kentucky Derby Contenders , Kentucky Derby news , Road to the Kentucky Derby Below are the best Brisnet and Beyer speed figures earned the previous week: Weir is highly invested in the Beyer Speed Figure, a number assigned to every race run by a horse that measures how fast the horse ran. Andrew Beyer was the racing columnist for the Washington Post. Accurate Speed and Performance Figures For Every Leg of the Race . The top Beyer Speed Figure earned by a Kentucky Derby winner since 1987 is 118, shared by Summer Squall (1990), Silver Charm (1997) and Smarty Jones (2004). The key to being a winning handicapper is having better, more comprehensive information than the rest of the betting public and then knowing how to interpret that information. May 03, 2018 · The Beyer Speed Figures, a well-known staple at Daily Racing Form, are complemented by the publication's pure speed rating and track variant figures, explained succinctly as follows. This alters the molecular structure and enhances the strength of the alloy. Jun 01, 2012 · Beyer on Speed shows the way, explaining how to relate the numbers to such factors as pace, track bias, and track conditions. In the early years of the 21st century, Beyer speed figures began appearing in the "Daily Racing Form," so you no longer need to calculate your own figures. But let’s first praise Hidden Scroll before we bury his chances to win the Derby. He deserved long shot, despite his 100 Beyer Speed Figure in the Feb 15, 2011 · *Beyer Speed Figures for stakes winners can be found at DRF. Notice the 11 point upswing on the DRF figures, but only 2 points on Bris. If you see a deconstruction coming, you know me well. In this third year of the Road to the Kentucky Derby points system, how do you think it's working? Plus, speed figures can help break down the Derby field and  JP: Big, long-striding horse got career-best fig in SA Derby and only figures to JP: Expensive 2yo buy was impressive with solid Beyer in long-awaited debut. With morning line odds of 20-1, he carries a lot of value, and he should not be taken lightly. IRISH WAR CRY won the Wood this year with a 101 Beyer and is responsible for two of the paltry four triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures in this year’s field Requirements to identify Kentucky Derby contenders: The top two finishers from the ‘Big Three’ prep races (SA Derby, ARK Derby & FL Derby) are the horses most likely to win the Kentucky Derby. Based on an Beyer said the average winning figure of the Derby is 108. ) May 02, 2019 · The colt registered a career-high 97 Beyer speed figure in his victory in the Grade II Louisiana Derby. Since Beyer speed figures were not around in 1973, Andy Beyer went back and assigned Secretariat a 139 speed figure for the 1973 Belmont Stakes. The son of City Zip is 2-for-2 racing two turns on dirt and appears to be progressing in the right direction this season for Hall of Fame Beyer Speed Figures. And #7 Final Journey could have been any kind. Roadster's have been 96 and 98. Not any of the other 65 horses on the current Kentucky Derby points leaderboard has recorded a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or higher this year or ever. For many years one had to buy his book and figure out how to compute them. He also set a high 102 Brisnet Speed Rating at Santa Anita. However, there is little doubt that speed figures are predictive. In examining the probable runners for this year's Kentucky Derby, only four horses have run a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or higher: Exaggerator, who ran a 103 Beyer in winning a sloppy Santa Anita "The best Beyer Speed Figure coming into the Derby belonged to Empire Maker (111), Funny Cide (110) and Ten Most Wanted (110). Apr 25, 2018 · Yeah, it’s tough to make money relying primarily on speed figures, but that’s because everybody is aware of them (thanks, in large part, to Andrew Beyer’s entertaining books and the commercial speed ratings, including his own, that they spawned). Whether it’s the Beyer Ratings, so easy to obtain in the PP’s, numbers from Bris or any other professional service (including the either of the “sheets”) or whether you make them yourself, you need to be aware of their limitations in order to use them properly. Post earned a 96 Beyer Speed Figure. The last five runnings of the Kentucky Derby produced winning Beyer Speed Figures of 103, 102, 103, 105 and 97. The decline in speed figures earned by 3-year-olds in the spring has certainly been dramatic. 1997: 4-year-old season. In fact, thanks to his proficiency with speed figures and top-tier handicapping, he landed one of just eight spots on Beyer's figure-making team in 2017 Formal Gold was again hampered by a poor start and a wide trip, but made up ground late. LOUISVILLE. Cutting Humor Since making their published debut in 1991, Beyer Speed Figures have become an industry standard for the comparison of one horse’s performance to another. Re: Speed Figure Question-Beyer Speed Figs vs. Beyer Speed Figures. It reveals optimal uses of the figures based on computer analysis of more than 10,000 races. He uses the figure as the backbone of his handicapping. The 2014 Kentucky Derby prep schedule and results, with replays, charts, and prep winners’ Beyer speed figures, can be found here. Every performance by every horse in North America is assigned a Beyer number which reflects the time of the race and the inherent speed of the track over which it was run, permitting easy comparisons of efforts at different distances. That leaves Maximum Security to win the 145th Kentucky Derby. At the age of four, Formal Gold developed into one of the fastest horses of the 1990s, repeatedly running Beyer Speed Figures in the 120s. Apr 25, 2018 · But Beyer and TimeformUS speed figures, along with Brisnet Speed Ratings, can give us an idea of who belongs near the top of your 2018 Kentucky Derby wagers. Tiz the Law, who stays atop our list, had the previous high of 10o from his Below are preliminary Beyer Speed Figures for the Sunday stakes winners at Remington Park, courtesy Daily Racing Form: Long Range Toddy - 82 in the Springboard Mile, a points race for the Kentucky Derby. What’s notable is that he duplicated triple digit BRIS Late Pace figures winning in two completely different fashions, posting a 104 at 9f. May 02, 2018 · Everyone's talking about Justify's 107 Beyer Speed Figure in the Santa Anita Derby. Kentucky Derby Contenders Speed Figures. So let's take a look at the probable Derby competitors by their Beyer Speed Figures, and the figure patterns they exhibit coming into the race Speed figures and class ratings are designed to be on the same scale and become extremely powerful when used together while handicapping, particularly when horses are moving in class or shipping to different tracks and it is not clear if the horse will be competitive in the race. A closer look at the horses in the 141st run for the roses. The speed rating is a comparison of a horse's final time with the best time at the distance at that track in the last three years. Alpha had a little trouble, although I think it was exaggerated by a lot of people. He is the only entrant Beyer Speed Figures are a numerical system to rank Thoroughbred racehorses and their abilities. Bris Speed Ratings BRIS Speed Stakes Ratings Chad Brown Churchill Downs Del Mar Florida Speed By Circuit Gulfstream Park Keeneland Kentucky Derby  Instead of Beyer figures, Quarter Horse handicappers use speed indexes. Further thoughts below the jump In his maiden-breaking race, Dr. Now, I know that a lot of bettors think speed figures are useless… but a lot of bettors are wrong. 134 – Groovy – Belmont Park – 6 Furlongs – June 21st 1987 FWIW – Beyer Speed Figures in the Kentucky Derby Since 1990, the lowest winning Beyer Speed Figure for the Kentucky Derby came in 2014 when California Chrome won with a 97 Beyer . A few months later, Orb won the nine furlong Florida Derby in 1:50 4/5 and earned a 97 Beyer Speed Figure. The field for Saturday's Kentucky Derby could be the worst in May 06, 2016 · LOUISVILLE, Ky. (This year that would be He beat a collection of grass and second-string dirt horses in the UAE Derby. In examining the probable runners for this year's Kentucky Derby, only four horses have run a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or  29 Apr 2014 California Chrome and Victor Espinoza win the Santa Anita Derby. He didn't run at all that day, and Stevens said immediately after dismounting that the horse didn't take Oct 18, 2015 · In terms of Beyer Speed Figures, this appears to be the worst crop since 2006 because we have yet to see a 2 year-old colt or filly eclipse the 100 Beyer Speed mark thus far. Maybe today the horse that is a stalker that's been running mid 70s numbers figures a better trip and is likely to take a step forward while his rival regresses. A horse that runs six furlongs in 1:10 over a lighting fast track with a two-inch cushion might run the same distance in 1:12 when the track surface has a four EQUIBASE® SPEED FIGURE LEADERS LISTS 2020 Through 06/19/2020. Cezanne enters the Derby Watch top 20 as the fourth choice on the line of Daily Racing Form's Marty McGee. com — Horse Andrew Beyer's Analysis Odds 1. The Churchill Downs racing strip was slow, of course, but even when the track condition is taken into account, the race still produced a modest Beyer Speed Figure of 104, the second-lowest for the Derby in 20 years. The DRF publishes a Beyer Speed Figure for every horse in every race. All of the favorites this year Moved Permanently. May 03, 2018 · Big Brown, the 2008 Derby winner, was 2 1/2 lengths ahead. Beyer, a columnist for the Washington Post and a respected handicapper, believed that bettors could select more winners if they were able to put a number on how fast a horse ran in a given race. Jun 15, 2008 · what was Curlin's Beyer speed figure in the Stephen Foster? Update : also is there any way it figure what his Beyer would have been in Dubai, I know the DRF dosen't list beyer figs for races out side the US. 145TH KENTUCKY DERBY PP HORSE TRAINER JOCKEY ODDS 1 War of Will Mark Casse Tyler Gaffalione 20-1 2 Tax Danny Gargan Junior Alvarado 20-1 3 By My Standards Bret Calhoun Gabriel Saez 20-1 4 Gray [] TwinSpires. Let’s say you’re analyzing a field of horses in a race. The 145th Kentucky Derby will be run Saturday, May 4, 2019 at Churchill Downs in Louisville. WAR OF WILL. The higher the horse’s figure, the better the performance. Beyer Speed Figures have used in Daily Racing Form since 1992 and are considered a standard for measuring performance in Thoroughbreds. The Dangers of a Speed Handicapping Method. Beyer Speed Figures are good indicators of which horse will often be the favorite in a race, and the figures are simple to understand: the higher the number, the faster the horse. The 2005 winner, Giacomo, was an exception to the rule. com . , SA   The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the  16 Jun 2020 On DRF Beyer figures, Tiz the Law's 100 is followed up by Tap it To number in his most recent race, the Florida Derby (G1) in late March. Ahead of Saturday’s 2020 Belmont Stakes, it comes as no surprise that there is one standout as far as speed figures are concerned. Clever Serve - 85 in She's All In May 03, 2019 · Five of them won, including Justify last year. It was founded in the early 1970’s by Andrew Beyer, who was a columnist for the Washington Post. earning lofty 105 and 106 Beyer Speed Figures in the process. FLAMEAWAY, 2nd TB Derby, 92. As good as speed figure are, even Andrew Beyer will admit that they are not perfect. While his longevity as a sportswriter is certainly an Using Speed and Pace Figures and Class Ratings Class Ratings Class ratings are based on projected finishing times based on the Speed Figures of the individual horses coming into each race. DRF has been giving horseplayers the tools to win big since 1894. 7% $2 Net: $0. When it comes to the 142nd running of the Kentucky Derby, this year’s field has a major case of the slows. Mar 16, 2020 · Ignoring ground loss, a major hole in the Beyer Speed Figures. American Pharoah won the Arkansas Derby with a 105. Horse Andrew Beyer's Analysis Odds; 1. With only Empire Maker to beat, all Funny Cide needed was a little racing luck. May 03, 2016 · Pharoah then produced speed figures of 105 (Derby), 102 (Preakness after a freak thunderstorm) and 105 (Belmont). The Beyer Speed Figure came back at 104 – the kind of number that can win the Derby some years. * Being by Hard Spun out of an Empire Maker mare, he is well bred. May 03, 2016 · Kentucky Derby angles: Speed figure patterns. Gemologist was wide on both turns. This is a look at the winning TimeformUS Speed Figures for the last 9 years of Triple Crown prep races as well as the winning figures f or the Kentucky Derby, Preakness, and Belmont Stakes for each 0f those years. The only horses projected to start in this year’s Kentucky Derby that have produced a 97 or higher Beyer Speed Figure are: Exaggerator (103, 98), Nyquist (101 Let’s take a look at the 2019 Kentucky Derby Speed Figure Heat Map: If you’re not familiar with each of these methodologies it’s important to understand a few very basic concepts. The early favorite was Justify, who had made only three starts before the race but won each time with triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures. Besilu Stables Florida Derby, beyer speed figures Free picks, promotions and local handicapping news sent directly to your inbox. WORLD OF TROUBLE, 3rd TB Derby, 92 Anyone with info or stats please post. May 02, 2016 · In examining the probable runners for this year's Kentucky Derby, only four horses have run a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or higher: Exaggerator, who ran a 103 Beyer in winning a sloppy Santa Anita His beyer figures have consistently hit that 90 to 100 mark in his last 3 races up to 9f. With this in mind, even the briefest glance at the speed figures earned by the horses in the 2014 Kentucky Derby stamped California Chrome as the horse Apr 22, 2020 · In it, Beyer explained his take on speed figures and how he developed numbers that could reflect horses’ performances at different distances. If so, it could be Magnum Moon that puts an end to the reign of Apollo. A horse that ran an extraordinarily fast ‘pace’ in its last outing may have run out of steam and finished behind other horses, but that very same pace may be enough to win a race against slower competitors. 2007: Street Sense (5/1) Street Sense was a great story for the 2007 Kentucky Derby. More than a quarter-century ago, Andrew Beyer invented the Beyer Speed Figure, in what would later be recognized as a  27 Feb 2019 Generally speaking, Beyer and BRIS speed figures are arranged on a similar scale. Charlatan, SA, 14 Mar, 1M, 106. The 6-furlong sprint came up loaded with early speed, with 5-of-6 contestants producing triple-digit E1 and/or E2 Pace Ratings, and it set up for a horse with a closing kick. 30-1 BSF: N/A 2. 8 Dr. Edgar (20-1) loose on the lead. But the 106 Mendelssohn was credited with in his 18 1/2 length win, his third straight, in the UAE Derby was Find expert handicapping analysis, video, online horse wagering, breaking news and more. You can see from the chart of Kentucky Derby history that his best Beyers of 108 and 107 are better than all the last five winners of the Triple Crown’s first leg. Twenty years earlier, in the period from 1994 to 1998, the winning figures ranged from a low of 107 to a high of 115 (Silver Charm. His tactical speed gives the nation’s winningest jockey options as he tries to win his third from as many starts. In the early 1970s, while working for the Washington Daily News, Beyer did extensive work on the concept of speed figures and wrote books that helped popularize their use. 2015 Kentucky Derby field, odds and Andrew Beyer's analysis. Here are the winning Beyer Speed Figures from last week's stakes races: *Californian (Hol): Heatseeker - Ire (J. Bris Speed Ratings can be found in the advance Ultimate PPs for the 2011 Kentucky Derby ( link ). That's if you go by the Beyer Speed Figures, the calculations put forth Apr 16, 2019 · LAST-RACE BRISNET SPEED FIGURE OF 95 OR LESS IN KENTUCKY DERBY. Only one $1 million-plus auction purchase has won the Derby ($4 million yearling Fusaichi Pegasus in 2000. For instance, Classic Empire and Always Dreaming sported some of the top figures heading into last year’s race at Churchill Downs. Nov 19, 2015 · Andrew Beyer joins Mike Hogan (@drfformulator) and Peter Thomas Fornatale (@loomsboldly) to discuss updates to the Beyer Speed Figures for turf racing and speed handicapping in general. 17. The race before, he went 6f in 110. win the Japanese Derby and the first two legs of the This book explains the origins of the Beyer Speed figures and walks you through an understanding of how the speed figures are calculated and how they work. Chinnici on his second and third starts at Monmouth, there is a speed figure difference. These Figures represent a relative measure of how fast a horse finished in a prior race. 8 My First Grammy (50-1) – Improving maiden will inject some early pressure into this race but will face much better speed types in this spot while going around two turns for the first time. Furthermore, the odds on seven of them have been less than 20-to-1 only twice in 17 races with the average odds of these 17 races being 53-to-1. From Beyer's Washington Post Column: Super Saver's winning tine of 2:04. Daddy Long Legs Trainer: Aidan O'Brien Jockey: Colm O'Donoghue Won the $2 million UAE Derby in Dubai over a synthetic track in slow time, but his one prior try on dirt in the U. He became the first horse since 1929 to win the race from the 20th starting gate, blowing past the field to a 4 3/4 lengths triumph. Number: 145 Winners: 1 Win Rate: 0. 124 beyer they both earned is among the top beyer speed figures any horses have run. Mar 11, 2018 · Here are the Beyer Speed Figures from the huge Festival Day card Saturday at Tampa: QUIP, G2 Tampa Bay Derby, 94. If you're using Beyer Speed Figures (BSF), the statistic and speed numbers which Andrew Beyer developed 26 years ago, know that 24 of the last 26 Kentucky Derby winners posted at least a 95 BSF in Groovy (1983–2006) was an American Thoroughbred Champion sprint racehorse known for his love of jelly donuts. In preparing to bet the Kentucky Derby and other races this year I read Andrew Beyer's fantastic book "Beyer on Speed" and this book. The Daily Racing Form’s Beyer Speed Figures are used to measure the speed of a horse in a particular Jun 16, 2020 · Our weekly slideshow, powered by Darby Dan, shows you last weekend's stakes winners from around the country, plus Beyer Speed Figures, sire and breeder information, and more. Apr 15, 2019 · Unbeaten in four career starts, Maximum Security has produced some eye-popping Beyer Speed Figures, including a 102 in an 18-length win 10 days before the Florida Derby, when he could have been EQUIBASE® SPEED FIGURE LEADERS LISTS 2020 Through 06/19/2020. S. The only other horse to achieve a speed figure above 130 was a horse called Groovy who earned figures of 132 and 133 in sprint races back in 1987. Maximum Security is one of the few horses with early speed and figures to be prominent early on Saturday. 3 March to the Arch (8-1) is a reliable runner with Beyer speed figures of 97 or higher in seven of eight starts, which puts him right into contention. The higher the number the faster the horse ran. com today. Strengths of speed ratings Comparing horses from different tracks – One of the big challenges of handicapping the Derby is determining how horses from different areas stack up. The Beyer scale runs from 0 (slowest) to nearly 125. I thought they both ran OK. Handicappers often use the horse with the highest last-race Beyer as their focus and eliminate horses that have never run a figure close The median winning Beyer Speed Figure is 67, but nine of the 10 experienced runners entered in here have yet to crack 40. If you have ever purchased a Daily Racing Form to handicap the races, you’ve probably noticed the Beyer Speed Figure in the past performance of The speed figures for the Belmont Stakes were encouraging: Tiz the Law earned a 113 Equibase Speed Figure, matched his career-best with a 100 Beyer Speed Figure, and earned a 106 BrisNet speed May 01, 2019 · Even though Maximus Security was credited with a 101 Beyer Speed Figure, his victory in the Florida Derby has come under question due to the slow early pace he was allowed to set, including a May 05, 2016 · Since the figures began being published in 1991, seven Kentucky Derby winners had the best Beyer among all Derby entrants in their last-outs, i. The document has moved here. Beyer speeds are full of shi*t. When handicapping a horse race, there are more variables than one can count, but using the Beyer Speed Figures will get you headed in the right direction. He had a 98 at the San Vicente Stakes, a 96 at San Felipe and a 103 at the Santa Anita Derby. Beyer numbers often serve as a starting point in the handicapping process. This is a bad year to try to be doing what has never been done: A UAE Derby horse hitting the board in the Kentucky Derby. In fact, I’m ashamed to say that I only learned of the controversy yesterday, while reading Matt Hess’ fine piece on Bolt d’Oro . Looking at Dr. May 09, 2009 · Rachel Alexandra was 101 MTB was really low 91. ” From the mid 1970s until last year, the Beyer Speed Figures were the greatest advance in the history of gambling. So, the higher the speed  The rim of the wheels is forged at high pressure while the wheel is spun at high speed. May 04, 2017 · Picks for the 143rd Kentucky Derby. Dynamic Impact Trainer: Mark Casse Jockey: Miguel Mena His win in the Illinois Derby didn't qualify him for the Kentucky Derby field, but it was a good The BRIS figures are mostly automated, while Beyer Speed Figures rely on human input and judgment calls. History shows that any horse that does not finish in the superfecta in his final prep race is a horse you can eliminate from consideration. So Darn Hot earned a 75 Beyer figure going 1 1/16 miles in 1:41. I used the information on "Beyer on Speed" and "Speed to Spare" this year (March, 2005) to hit a big trifecta at Santa Anita - without Beyer Speed ratings and the information they provide, I May 01, 2001 · The Beyer speed figures, for example, which are printed in The Daily Racing Form, indicate that this group is precocious when it comes to speed. Every Kentucky Derby winner since 2000 has posted at least one race with 100 or greater Beyer Speed Figure. Rachel Alexandra’s 20 1/4-length victory Friday received a BSF of 108, making it the highest ever by a point over Silverbulletday’s 107 a decade ago. Number: 138 Winners: 1 Win Rate: 0. 12 Jun 2013 Beyer Speed Figures appear in the Daily Racing Form for races run in North America. These figures measure how fast a horse can run, taking into account the condition of the surface was on a given day. With Beyer Speed Figures of 97 and 98 in his last two races, he'll need to jump up a bit to win the Derby. The lists provide daily updates of the top Equibase® Speed Figures earned in stakes races in the categories listed below: Maximum Security's Beyer Speed Figures in his previous two races have been 100 and 102. He won two stakes on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, including beating Improbable (6-1 on the Kentucky Derby morning line) in a division of the Rebel Stakes. Interestingly, no Remsen loser has won the Kentucky Derby, with six horses winning both races. With both Beyer and BRIS speed figures, a triple-digit number is a sign of a very good performance, and a horse that has earned multiple triple-digit numbers is likely to be a very good horse. The article is clearly about explaining what they are, and showing/listing the top Beyer Speed Figures that horses ran. " Mar 23, 2019 · His Beyer Speed Figures seem to be stalled in the high 70s, and that’s not good enough for these, even with improvement. ) He stayed Beyer Speed Figures. 70-1 odds. Ghostzapper, who has two BSFs in the top 15, won the 2005 Met Mile with a time of 1:33. On the rail, #1 Crazy Wager was 10 or 11 paths wide entering the stretch in his last, so I bumped his speed figure from 66 to 76 to make up for the lost ground. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. BRIS and Beyer Speed figures place a premium on winning a given race. Speed by Circuit. Many bettors needing help placing your Kentucky Derby bets often have no idea what Kentucky Derby speed figures are so our plan today is to enlighten you on how Kentucky Derby speed figures can help you with your Kentucky Derby online betting picks and predictions ensuring a positive result. Got a 101 in both the Florida Derby and Kentucky Derby. The rest were exceedingly uninspiring, according to the figures kings. May 06, 2016 · Top Beyer Speed Figure: 97 Draw a line through Mor Spirit's Santa Anita Derby performance. Additionally, by definition, a horse that finishes behind another horse must receive a lower Beyer Speed Figure based on finish position. List of horses racing in the 2014 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs including Beyer Speed Figures, results and free past performances from All Horse Racing. As of 2011, he is the last horse to break the 130 Beyer Speed Figure, accomplishing that milestone in his first two starts of 1987. No spam! Enter your email below. Jun 10, 2014 · Beyer Speed Figures appear in the Daily Racing Form for races run in North America. His trainer, Irishman Aidan O'Brien, is one of the best in May 02, 2019 · Maximum Security has run Beyer speed figures of 101 and 102 in his last two outings, owning the only three-digit speed figure of any horse in this field. May 03, 2016 · Sired by the 2007 Derby third-placer Curlin, Exaggerator is the only trail horse in the Run for the Roses to post three Beyer Speed Ratings of over 95 in 2016. When I thought about the last time I was that impressed by a 3-year-old making his first start in the winter, the only name that came to me was Curlin, who finished third in the 2007 Derby, won the Preakness and finished second in the Belmont Stakes. Bettors can look at the numbers and more easily compare one horse with another. The list since 1987 In it, Beyer explained his take on speed figures and how he developed numbers that could reflect horses’ performances at different distances. Apr 30, 2011 · Archarcharch also recorded the best Beyer Speed Figure in a major prep — a 98. 75. Hollendorfer/R. He was sent off as the second favorite in his last Derby prep and beat the favorite by 6 lengths leaving him in the dust in the pouring rain. An Insider's Look, Articles, Recap, TimeformUS May 6, 2015, by TimeformUS Comments Off on TimeformUS Speed Figure Scale Upgrade + Review of Kentucky Derby & Oaks Speed Figures Each week, TimeformUS Chief Figure Maker Craig Milkowski takes a look back at the weekend performances that earned the top TimeformUS Speed Figures. Weir's methodology has produced multiple five-figure days. He posted an incredible 109 Beyer Speed Figure en route to victory. In the Derby, he had to surmount what came to be known as "Curse of Apollo" – a reference to the fact that no horse had ever won the Derby without racing while at age two since Apollo in 1882. 20 debut, but I’m not Apr 30, 2015 · He figures to be much farther back in the Derby behind a fast pace, and nothing has shown he is ready for this kind of assignment. May 04, 2009 · “For the first time in the 19-year published history of Beyer Speed Figures, the Kentucky Oaks has received a better figure than the Kentucky Derby. Why such a strict rule? Beyer Beware. Beyer Speed Figures appear exclusively in Daily Racing Form. 2019 Kentucky Derby Study Guide at the Kentucky Derby. * His Beyer Speed Figure of 104 was the highest in a debut of a mile or longer in 10 years, according to the Daily Racing Form’s Brad Free. 4 Jan 2011 The speed rating was created by Andrew Beyer and it made horse racing betting a little easier for your average bettor. His mic drop in the Breeders Cup Classic last October earned an eyebrow-raising 120. A young horse that posts a triple-digit number is a fast and  28 Mar 2020 2020 Florida Derby Odds and Top Speed Figures Career-high Beyer (88), which came four starts back, looks like the outlier amongst his past  19 May 2019 Beat Beyer Speed Figure: 102. Dialed In, considered by many to be the likely betting favorite on Derby Day, earned a 93 Beyer Speed Figure winning the Florida Derby. The Beyer Sire Performance Standings now offer a metric for measuring stallion performance beyond wins and earnings. Then along came "Washington Post" racing writer and avid horse player Andy Beyer, who, in the 1970s, explained how to calculate a sophisticated set of speed figures in several books. In a column this week for The Post, Beyer argued against disqualification, but not because Maximum Security didn May 02, 2016 · In examining the probable runners for this year's Kentucky Derby, only four horses have run a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or higher: Exaggerator, who ran a 103 Beyer in winning a sloppy Santa Anita There is the hot trainer theory and the fact that Maximum Security is one of the few horses with quality early speed and is the only horse with a triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure. Starting with Thoro-Graph, of the Derby starters, he ran the second-fastest Thoro-Graph number last year (in the Remsen) only behind Vekoma’s figure in the Nashua Stakes. The fact that Maximum Security has put Beyer Speed Figures of 101 and 102 on the board this year is noteworthy, especially this year. 5/1/14 Update: Trainer Bob Baffert scratches Hoppertunity due to a foot issue, and Pablo Del Monte draws in. Jan 04, 2011 · The speed rating was created by Andrew Beyer and it made horse racing betting a little easier for your average bettor. He also tied a track speed record in his 3rd race traveling 7f. Noted — not one of the top 23 on that list started in the 2012 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. 87. Yes, he could have been claimed for $16,000 in his Dec. So, the higher the speed figures the better the performance sounds simple right? If one could go to the track and go large on the ones with the highest speed ratings all the time there would be no need for this website. Racing analyst Andrew Beyer stated, "Easy Goer was the most brilliant American two-year-old of the decade. 20 and received a Beyer Speed Figure of 122 for his performance. Aug 05, 2008 · I recently used Beyer Speed figures to rank the top seven horses of the past decade. Lone Rock - 95 in Jeffrey Hawk Memorial . May 03, 2012 · Beyer: By the standards of 2012, I guess the Wood was about as good as any prep race except Bodemeister in the Arkansas Derby. Magnum Moon was the other undefeated horse to run in the Derby last year. Mar 21, 2020 · Ten horses that will benefit from the Kentucky Derby moving to September He earned 105 and 106 Beyer speed figures, respectively, in those wins, and the Justify comparisons began before he Apr 25, 2018 · Yeah, it’s tough to make money relying primarily on speed figures, but that’s because everybody is aware of them (thanks, in large part, to Andrew Beyer’s entertaining books and the commercial speed ratings, including his own, that they spawned). Single digit speed figures and Beyer donuts populate the racing form page. A poster on the Bloodhorse. I believe the books Picking Winners and Beyer on Speed goes in depth on creating Beyer's speed figures. Pray Hard had the right profile based upon his Late Pace numbers and closed from last-to-first to win at 5. He ran 6f in 112. Daily Racing Form publishes the par Beyer Speed Figure for most classes, and such pars are based on years of raw time data. May 02, 2018 · Daily Racing Form gave the horse a career-best 107 Beyer Speed Figure, the top for any Derby prep race to date. Bejarano) - 109 Both colts had run fast speed figures prior to the Remsen, and their 1-2 finish resulted in Maximus Mischief receiving a 97 Beyer, tied with Game Winner for the highest of the season in a Derby prep race. [25] As Beyer has noted, a speed figure is a numerical expression of a horse's final time, universalized for distance, track surface, and the daily variant on that surface. this year in which the winner earned 50 or 100 points toward the Kentucky Derby. 99% of races I won, the Beyer speed wasn't even a factor. Spinoff is another speeder, but this one comes from the Todd Pletcher barn and gets the services of Hall of Famer John Velazquez. But the 2006 2 year-old class eventually produced Curlin who didn’t race until his 3 year-old campaign but generated $10. you would thinks a simple Google search of American Pharoah Derby Beyer speed figure would lead to something other than old crap even if you sort past May 01, 2015 · Why he won't: His Beyer speed figures suggest at least five others are faster. To this day, the speed figures he created are still widely used to evaluate races. The 20 horses in this field have combined to register four triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures. When the Beyer Speed Figures were released for this year’s Preakness Stakes, some were surprised that Oxbow earned a 106, higher than Orb’s 104 Kentucky Derby performance, especially given The average winning Beyer Speed Figure in the Kentucky Derby is 109. the next stops on the Kentucky Derby trail. Honor A. Jan 02, 2019 · Here’s the full Kentucky Derby point race schedule, with charts, replays, and winning Beyer Speed figures, and the official list of Kentucky Derby prospects in order of points as of April 14 from Churchill Downs (PDF). Brisnet Kentucky Speed by Circuit June 8-14 (6/16/2020); Brisnet New York Speed by Circuit June 8 The Beyer Speed Figures going into this year’s Kentucky Derby are relatively low. In the 20 years they have been published in the Form, the top Beyer horse has won six times or 33 percent. In the early 1970â s, a man named Andrew Beyer changed the way people bet on horses by developing the speed figure. Nadal, a Kentucky Derby contender, will be favored in Saturday’s Arkansas Derby. It clearly is relevant to the article. Apr 29, 2020 · Derby Day in Arkansas. The Beyer Speed Figures were first incorporated into book form in 1975, and in 1992 the Daily Racing Form began assigning the numbers to all horses on Tom’s d’Etat is the only one in the eight-horse field with a Grade 1 win – last year’s Clark at Churchill Downs — and he chalked up triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures in his last seven starts. Charlatan, SA, 16 Feb, 6F, 105. The par time helps the figure makers compare times against different variables starting with class. Known as the “most exciting two minutes in sports”, the Kentucky Derby has been run continuously since 1875. Just curious about figures at Belmont on June 18. Beyer Speed Figures are only one handicapping tool, one factor, and in the Derby, anything can happen, and there is no way that any single factor can take into account the totality of the field, and in how a race will be run. Derby winners by post position. Additionally, in this Champagne Stakes, Easy Goer ran the fastest Beyer Speed Figure performance (116 Beyer) of any two-year-old since Beyer racing figures were first published. His BRIS and Beyer speed figures earned in the Florida Derby (107, 99) are good for 3 rd and 4 th best in the field respectively. Brisnet Speed Figs « Reply #2 on: July 26, 2010, 09:36:01 am » Quote from: HogFanInBryant on July 25, 2010, 10:37:14 pm General Information: (212) 674-3123 Fax: (212) 674-3732 On Weekends, the office is open 10:30AM - 3:00PM Saturday and 10:30AM - 1:00PM Sunday While Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) have generally trended down since the turn of the century, it’s still worth noting which 3-year-olds posted at least a 100 BSF in race. Reviewers likened it to the Herbert Yardley May 03, 2019 · Including Justify’s win last year, 25 of the 27 Derby winners since Beyer’s metric was introduced have clocked a speed rating of at least 95 before the Derby. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF. Q. Take, for example, the notion that speed figures mean nothing in the Kentucky Derby. We can use the same method to analyze Big Brown. THE TRUTH ABOUT SPEED FIGURES by Mark Cramer Cultures pass down myths from one generation to another. The winner in that race, Da’Tara, ran a 99, so Big Brown probably would have won had he been up to form in the Belmont. The formula Beyer used to construct his speed figures was initially fairly simple, but it has since evolved into a proprietary complex system that is marketed exclusively by the Daily Racing Form. You can see which Derby starters are exiting the four most productive preps on Hello Race Fans. 45 was the slowest since 1989. By combining a horse’s final-time figure, pace figures, and running style into one number, we form what we believe is a state-of-the-art single-number measure of all-around performance. Jun 14, 2020 · The speed figures were very encouraging: a new best 102 Beyer Speed Figure, an 11-point top 108 BrisNet Speed rating, a 105 Equibase Speed Figure (matched career best), and a 122 TimeForm speed Andrew Beyer (born 17 Nov 1943) is an American expert on horse race betting who designed what has become known as the Beyer Speed Figure. was a disaster. Dec 13, 2019 · Look at the Beyer Speed Figures. Our research showed us how to take the last six months of speed figures from all of the entrants in a race, and make Speed Figures – Beyer Number It really doesn’t matter what figures you use. Essentially the Beyer Speed  22 Apr 2018 "SECRETARIAT" Greatest Race Horse of All Time - Kentucky Derby Preakness Belmont Stakes 1973 Video - Duration: 7:17. Bris and Beyer speed figures are ratings designed to compute how fast a horse ran taking into account track conditions as a means of comparing horses from different tracks and races. In its current race, a horse may well be faster than its speed figures or past performances suggest. One highly weighted part of the Downey Profile is the Beyer factor, which goes like this: The horse must run a Beyer speed figure of 100 or more in each of its final two Kentucky Derby preps. Mar 28, 2020 · No. Secretariat’s crushing Belmont victory came in 1973 before the Beyer figures were developed, but it’s estimated that he would have earned a 139 on that day. Aug 24, 2019 · If Beyer Speed Figures are your thing, and if you believe that Shancelot should have things his own way up front early in the Allen Jerkens today at Saratoga, then you probably feel he’s an obvious single in all of your multi-race plays. 29 Apr 2015 Dortmund has reeled off figures of 106, 104 and 104. Jun 09, 2011 · Andrew Beyer has been a horse racing journalist since 1966, an achievement in itself considering the ongoing woes of the newspaper industry. Jan 25, 2018 · Importance of early-season BRIS Speed Ratings for Kentucky Derby contenders at the Kentucky Derby. Speed by Circuit data reports offer stats on horse performance by race circuit. Tax was third. derby beyer speed figures

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